Another useless summit: why does Obama bother?
Alexander Cockburn: The Obama Plan will join all the other diplomatic ruins in the desert of dry bones
It's impossible to read the agenda for the Oval Office summit between Obama, Netanyahu and Abbas without laughing out loud at the absurdity of its pretensions. The American plan is that President Obama will inform Binyamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, and Mahmoud Abbas, representing the Palestinian Authority, that this is make-or-break time for a peaceful settlement. The US wants an agreement within a year, with the stipulations in this agreement to be phased in over a decade.
At issue: illegal Jewish settlements, the status of East Jerusalem, the treatment of Palestinian refugees and final borders between Israel and a Palestinian state.
The man greeting Netanyahu and Abbas is no longer the icon of change who roused the world with his address to Muslims in Cairo and who tasked former US Senator George Mitchell with setting the stage for a just settlement of issues that have remained unsettled for more than half a century.
Obama is now in poor political shape. The economy is spiraling down, even as the midterm elections loom. Democrats face a possible bloodbath, in which they may lose at least one if not both houses in Congress. As the Israel Lobby knows well, the Democrats crave Jewish money and Jewish votes. When it comes to Israel's interests, the US Congress jumps to the Lobby's commands, and ignores Obama's.
Gone is any notion of twisting Netanyahu's arm, or trying to, as when the administration criticised one illegal Jewish settlement four months ago and when Vice President Biden relayed in Tel Aviv General Petraeus's concerns that Israel's obduracy was imperiling US security interests in the region.
The Lobby struck back, with political threats. With unusual frankness, Dana Milbanke of the Washington Post described Netanyahu's last visit to Washington thus:
"A blue-and-white Israeli flag hung from Blair House. Across Pennsylvania Avenue, the Stars and Stripes was in its usual place atop the White House. But to capture the real significance of Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu's visit with President Obama, White House officials might have instead flown the white flag of surrender."
The tenor of Israeli politics today is one of fanatic rejectionism of any long-term cessation of settlements, any serious concession on borders, beyond a Palestinian "state" in small chunks, hemmed in by Israel's highways and fences, with water diverted and communication between the various chunks of Palestinian territory under rigorous Israeli control.
East Jerusalem as the proposed capital of a Palestinisan state is under incessant invasion of new Jewish housing projects.
The Israeli press reports that Netanyahu has yet to evolve a negotiating position. His foreign minister, Avigdor Lieberman, refused to attend the summit and thinks Natanyahu should simply tell Obama that construction will continue without any restrictions in settlement blocs, after the present official moratorium ends on September 26.
For his part, Abbas is no longer president of the Palestinian Authority, which has no democratic mandate among the vast majority of Palestinians. They voted for Hamas and regard Abbas as a quisling, who exists solely by the favour of US money and Israeli support.
Tactically, Netanyahu has an easy hand to play in Washington. He can proclaim Israel's hopes for peace, yet warn that Israel's security interests are paramount. He can lecture Obama on Israel's primal fears of obliteration, yet not be too reticent in indicating that Israel can obliterate its enemies and is quite prepared to do so. Israel's nuclear arsenal will hover spectrally over the proceedings.
Then, on returning to Israel, he can allow settlements to go forward when the moratorium expires in three weeks, which in turn will prompt Abbas to threaten to act upon his commitment to abandon the talks if this occurs.
Israel will continue its rightward lunge and talk of "transfer" - i.e. mass expulsion of Palestinians from Israel's claimed borders – will grow apace. The Obama Plan will join all the other diplomatic ruins in that desert of dry bones which is the most conspicuous feature of all maps attempting to depict the search for a just solution in the Middle East.
Why is Obama even making the effort? As Professor Jeffrey Blankfort writes, "Every US president since Nixon has made an effort to end Israel's occupation for US strategic reasons, and every one of them has run up against the Lobby and, in the end, proved unable or unwilling to spend the political capital that would be required to enforce their will on Israel.
"In every instance Congress has stood on Israel's side and never more so than during the Obama administration. The three presidents that did challenge Israel - Ford, Carter, and Bush Sr. - were eventually forced to retreat and were turned out at the polls."
Now why, given this history, did Obama try his hand?
Blankfort suspects that there was pressure from the US's European allies to do so because "the continuance of the I-P conflict jeopardises their security and society far more than it does that of the US and there have long been calls for the EU to activate its own ‘peace initiative' and it would be likely to do so if the US withdrew from the field.
"This is the last thing that either Israel or the Lobby wants so that is why we see the Lobby elements in every administration - currently Ross, Emanuel, et al - making the push for Obama's involvement even though they know it is bound to fail."
Obama's recent remodeling of the Oval Office includes a very cheesy carpet featuring uplifting quotations around its edge: FDR's "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself"; Martin Luther King Jr's "The arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends towards justice"; Lincoln's "Government of the people, by the people, for the people" and so forth.
When Palestinians are on the guest list, White House staff should roll the carpet up, and bring out one with the Star of David right in the middle, and stitched round the edge, "Attention Palestinians! Abandon hope all ye who enter here." ·
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Comments
Its incredible. The inch by inch annexation of Palestine is clear to even a child on every map since 1948 and we have Man in a Shed talk about Israel having to make concessions?! Ludicrous. This is really the last chance for a JUST peace, the Israeli settlement strategy on the ground will make it impossible in future. BTW-the miniaturised rocketry,submarine,nuclear genie is out of the bottle, we need to make haste. For starters we might just witness a 'mushroom' show 20 miles off the beach at Tel Aviv.
This is quite a provocative argument set forth here - the headliner is 'Why does Obama bother?', but the real setting is the useless and boring ritual that has been going on ever since Yasser Arafat and presidents since Carter have been in power. I see it all as way of putting pressure on Israel. They have had some narrow escapes in the past, almost negotiating away their birthright of Israel as a whole for an illusory peace which their surrounding enemy and the enemy within have no intention of keeping or leaving as is. They are all take and no give. Israel should stick to the program, wait for their enemy to attack them and then riposte with ever-increasing force, taking prizes like the Golan Heights overlooking Syria as punishment for the insolence and stupidity of the barbarians over-reaching themselves. The next flash point will be when Iran get nuclear weapons...
Which country is going to implode first, US or Israel? With their leader's thumbs firmly on self-destruct buttons it seems only a matter of time. That could herald undesirable EU involvement. Sooner Syria and Iran take the political initiative to 'rescue' the Palestinians from the Prison Camp, a regional solution. As it is for the next 12 months the genuine interests of the Palestinians will be represented by a row of empty chairs and the meetings of talking heads will show to the world just how farcical this exercise is.
Your list of things "At issue:" are all concessions to be made by Israel. What does Israel credibly get in return ?