Austerity Cameron-style: there is an alternative
Amid warnings of a new UK recession, Hungary reminds us there is another way – growth
At first sight, Hungary and Britain have much in common. Both started the year being led by men called Gordon B. Both have seen unpopular nominally left-of-centre governments replaced, after spring general elections, by the conservative opposition. Both have relatively large government deficits.
But when it comes to dealing with the deficit, the approach of the British Conservative-led government and their Hungarian counterparts could not be more different.
In Britain, David Cameron's government plans major cuts in public spending, despite warnings of a double-dip recession - including one today from Tory MPs on the Commons Treasury committee, which believes a second recession is more likely as a result of Chancellor George Osborne's recent austerity budget.
But the Hungarian government's talks with the IMF and EU over deficit reduction broke down at the weekend, with finance minister Gyorgy Matolcsy saying that further austerity measures were "out of the question".
Instead, Viktor Orban's Fidesz administration is going for growth. It is breaking with the policies of the previous 'Socialist' government which followed the IMF/EU austerity programme to the letter, to the great hardship of millions of Hungarians.
Confused that Hungarian rightists are behaving like leftists and vice versa? Welcome to the new politics of the second decade of the 21st Century.
What Hungary demonstrates is that the big divide in European politics today is not between 'left' and 'right', but between those who support radical deficit reduction - like the British ConDem coalition and the Hungarian liberal-left - and those who oppose further austerity such as Hungary's Fidesz, and to a lesser extent, the British Labour party.
Fundamental to which side of the divide we find ourselves on is our view of the 'markets' and the influence they should have over government policy.
The Hungarian government, whose economic policies are more Gaullist than Thatcherite, has said it will govern in the interests of the Hungarian people, increasing support to families and small businesses and making the financial sector pay for the economic crisis, by means of a new tax.
It's clear that to Viktor Orban (above), pleasing the international money men comes second to pleasing those who voted for him.
By contrast, everything the new British government has done so far has been done to appease the 'markets'. The markets want radical cuts in public spending, and an ultra-slimmed down state - and that's what Cameron and Clegg are delivering to them.
'The Big Society' programme, unveiled by Cameron on Monday, is only the latest government initiative designed to remove the state from all aspects of our lives and open the field to private capital.
Cameron and his fellow 'small-state' deficit hawks claim that there is no other alternative to major cuts and that we will have to accept the fact that over the next few years hundreds of thousands of public sector jobs will be lost.
But Hungary shows that there is another way. If we accept the premise that in a democracy governments should govern on behalf of the majority, isn't Fidesz's pro-growth approach the right one?
Over the next few weeks we can expect the Hungarian government to come under enormous pressure from the IMF, the EU and the 'markets' to change course and introduce swingeing cuts, drop its financial sector tax and privatise state-owned assets (on Monday the forint fell by more than three per cent against the euro).
The neo-liberal propaganda machine has also been quick to put the boot into Orban: the Hungarian prime minister, we are told, is a 'populist' - the globalist's standard term of abuse for a politician who puts the interests of ordinary voters before that of international capital. The Economist, in a piece subtitled 'Worries about Hungary's new government', says that "concern is justified" over the Hungarian leader's "impulsive and headstrong habits".
Chris Bryant, the FT's central and eastern Europe correspondent, wrote: "There also remains an inescapable feeling that Orban and his inner circle simply do not get it. Last month's market turmoil was not apparently enough."
In other words, Orban should expect further assaults on his country's currency for having the temerity to stick two fingers up at the 'markets' and reject austerity.
Let's hope that Hungary's conservatives can withstand the pressure and that other governments around Europe start to follow their example. For what's at stake here is nothing less than democracy itself: after all, unlike the IMF, EU or 'the markets', the Hungarian government: was elected.
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Comments
Markets and money men couldn't care less about people, they care only about what is good for themselves and their profits, which can come just as much from gambling on and even deliberately causing a bear market, with all the social and economic damage that causes. I would also contend that the notion of pandering to markets is not the same as listening to business leaders, whose interest in maintaining and expanding their company size is directly related to maintaining healthy employment. The Government's first priority should always be the British people's needs. Anything less is as godd as treason.